UPDATED: 04-09-26 09:31 PDT

women Concordia-St Paul 2
  
Concordia-St Paul     
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 82.9048

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Northwood Great Midwest ( 2- 8, 75.0) 21- 2 215 H Maryville GLVC ( 8- 2, 93.2) 1-19 220 H Lewis GLVC ( 6- 4, 84.6) 12- 6 222 H McKendree GLVC ( 8- 3, 87.2) 11-18 227 A Quincy GLVC ( 3- 7, 84.4) 10-19 301 A Missouri Western GLVC ( 5- 4, 86.4) 7-15 313 A William Jewell GLVC ( 0- 5, 81.2) 14-13 315 A Rockhurst GLVC ( 8- 1, 89.2) 5-15 322 H Saginaw Valley State GLIAC ( 1-10, 77.1) 17- 6 327 A Davenport GLIAC ( 8- 5, 83.4) 6-10 329 A Grand Valley State GLIAC ( 5- 7, 88.0) 4- 7 404 A Northern Michigan GLIAC ( 8- 3, 88.4) 7-16 410 H Grand Valley State GLIAC ( 5- 7, 88.0) 412 H Davenport GLIAC ( 8- 5, 83.4) 417 A Saginaw Valley State GLIAC ( 1-10, 77.1) 425 H Northern Michigan GLIAC ( 8- 3, 88.4)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 H Northwood              21- 2      19     8           0.00
   215 H Maryville               1-19     -18   -10           0.00
   220 H Lewis                  12- 6       6    -1    +++    6.26
   222 H McKendree              11-18      -7    -4          -1.08
   227 A Quincy                 10-19      -9    -2    -     -3.14
   301 A Missouri Western        7-15      -8    -4          -1.12
   313 A William Jewell         14-13       1     1          -0.30
   315 A Rockhurst               5-15     -10    -7           0.00
   322 H Saginaw Valley State   17- 6      11     6           0.00
   327 A Davenport               6-10      -4    -1    -     -3.06
   329 A Grand Valley State      4- 7      -3    -6    +      2.00
   404 A Northern Michigan       7-16      -9    -6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Quincy                 10-19      -9    -2    -     -3.14
   327 A Davenport               6-10      -4    -1    -     -3.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Lewis                  12- 6       6    -1    +++    6.26
   329 A Grand Valley State      4- 7      -3    -6    +      2.00

Concordia-St Paul Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adelphi Adelphi   Adelphi
Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alabama-Huntsville
American International Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC)   Anderson (SC)
Ashland Ashland Ashland   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Assumption Assumption   Assumption
Barton Concordia-St Paul tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Concordia-St Paul
Belmont Abbey Belmont Abbey tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Belmont Abbey
Bentley Bentley   Bentley
Bloomsburg Bloomsburg   Bloomsburg
Bridgeport Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Caldwell Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Catawba Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Charleston Charleston   Charleston
Chestnut Hill Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Chowan Chowan   Chowan
Coker Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Colorado Mesa
Colorado-Colorado Spring Colorado-Colorado Spring Colorado-Colorado Spring   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Converse Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
CSU-Pueblo CSU-Pueblo insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) CSU-Pueblo
D'Youville Concordia-St Paul insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Concordia-St Paul
Daemen Daemen   Daemen
Davenport Davenport Davenport  
Davis & Elkins Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
District of Columbia Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Dominican (CA) Dominican (CA) Dominican (CA)   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Dominican (NY) Dominican (NY)   Dominican (NY)
East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg   East Stroudsburg
Edinboro Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Embry-Riddle
Emmanuel (GA) Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Emory & Henry Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Felician Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Findlay Concordia-St Paul insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) Concordia-St Paul
Flagler Flagler   Flagler
Florida Southern Florida Southern insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Florida Southern
Florida Tech Florida Tech insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Florida Tech
Fort Lewis Concordia-St Paul tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Concordia-St Paul
Franklin Pierce Franklin Pierce   Franklin Pierce
Frostburg State Frostburg State   Frostburg State
Gannon Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Georgian Court Georgian Court   Georgian Court
Grand Valley State Grand Valley State Grand Valley State  
Holy Family Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Indiana (PA) Indiana (PA)   Indiana (PA)
Indianapolis Indianapolis insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Indianapolis
Kutztown Kutztown   Kutztown
Lake Erie Concordia-St Paul insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Concordia-St Paul
Lander Lander   Lander
Lee Concordia-St Paul insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Concordia-St Paul
Lees-McRae Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Lenoir-Rhyne Lenoir-Rhyne   Lenoir-Rhyne
Lewis Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul  
Limestone Limestone   Limestone
Lincoln Memorial Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Lock Haven Lock Haven   Lock Haven
Lynn Lynn   Lynn
Malone Concordia-St Paul tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Concordia-St Paul
Mars Hill Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Maryville Maryville Maryville  
McKendree McKendree McKendree  
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Millersville Millersville   Millersville
Missouri Western Missouri Western Missouri Western  
Molloy Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Montevallo Montevallo   Montevallo
Mount Olive Mount Olive tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mount Olive
New Haven New Haven   New Haven
Newberry Newberry   Newberry
North Greenville Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Northern Michigan Northern Michigan Northern Michigan  
Northwood Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul  
Pace Pace   Pace
Palm Beach Atlantic Palm Beach Atlantic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Palm Beach Atlantic
Post Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Quincy Quincy Quincy  
Regis (CO) Regis (CO) Regis (CO)   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Roberts Wesleyan Roberts Wesleyan   Roberts Wesleyan
Rockhurst Rockhurst Rockhurst  
Rollins Rollins insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rollins
Saginaw Valley State Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul  
Seton Hill Seton Hill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Seton Hill
Shepherd Shepherd   Shepherd
Shippensburg Shippensburg   Shippensburg
Shorter Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Slippery Rock Slippery Rock insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Slippery Rock
Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Southern New Hampshire Southern New Hampshire   Southern New Hampshire
Southern Wesleyan Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
St Anselm St Anselm insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Anselm
St Leo St Leo   St Leo
St Michaels Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
St Thomas Aquinas Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Tampa Tampa insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tampa
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Thomas More Concordia-St Paul tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Concordia-St Paul
Tiffin Concordia-St Paul tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Concordia-St Paul
Tusculum Tusculum insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Tusculum
Ursuline Concordia-St Paul insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Concordia-St Paul
UVA Wise UVA Wise   UVA Wise
Virginia State Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Walsh Concordia-St Paul tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Concordia-St Paul
West Chester West Chester   West Chester
West Virginia Wesleyan Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Westminster (UT) Westminster (UT) insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Westminster (UT)
Wheeling Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
William Jewell Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul  
Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE)   Wilmington (DE)
Wingate Wingate   Wingate
Young Harris Young Harris   Young Harris

PowerWise = 43


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Northwood       ( 2- 8, 75.0)    21- 2      -24.94       8.25      -0.41         0.92             7.21
   0 H Maryville       ( 8- 2, 93.2)     1-19       -6.75      26.45      -0.41         0.92            -6.58
   0 H Lewis           ( 6- 4, 84.6)    12- 6      -15.33      17.86      -0.41         0.92            16.05
   0 H McKendree       ( 8- 3, 87.2)    11-18      -12.67      20.52      -0.41         0.92           -12.03
   0 A Quincy          ( 3- 7, 84.4)    10-19      -15.54      17.65       0.41         0.92           -13.92
   0 A Missouri Weste  ( 5- 4, 86.4)     7-15      -13.52      19.67       0.41         0.92           -12.06
   0 A William Jewell  ( 0- 5, 81.2)    14-13      -18.70      14.49       0.41         0.92            13.70
   0 A Rockhurst       ( 8- 1, 89.2)     5-15      -10.70      22.49       0.41         0.92            -9.47
   0 H Saginaw Valley  ( 1-10, 77.1)    17- 6      -22.84      10.35      -0.41         0.92             9.15
   0 A Davenport       ( 8- 5, 83.4)     6-10      -16.46      16.73       0.41         0.92           -14.77
   0 A Grand Valley S  ( 5- 7, 88.0)     4- 7      -11.89      21.30       0.41         0.92           -10.56
   0 A Northern Michi  ( 8- 3, 88.4)     7-16      -11.48      21.71       0.41         0.92           -10.18
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -43.45

winning pts = 46.1059 losing points = -89.5589

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------