UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

women Concordia-St Paul 2
  
Concordia-St Paul     
W-L: ( 9- 8) PR = 87.4340

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 209 A Lewis GLVC ( 6-10, 84.2) 12- 8 216 H Walsh Great Midwest ( 9- 9, 85.4) 15-14 221 H William Jewell GLVC ( 7- 9, 84.9) 19-11 223 H Rockhurst GLVC (12- 4, 90.5) 10-14 304 A Maryville GLVC (18- 1, 96.5) 4-24 306 A McKendree GLVC ( 5-12, 84.2) 11- 5 314 A Missouri Western GLVC ( 9- 8, 88.1) 5-12 316 A Quincy GLVC ( 7- 8, 85.6) 13-14 321 A Saginaw Valley State GLIAC ( 0-13, 72.2) 18- 3 328 H Grand Valley State GLIAC (15- 3, 91.9) 10-17 330 H Davenport GLIAC ( 9- 8, 87.3) 11- 9 405 H Northern Michigan GLIAC ( 8- 8, 88.3) 13- 9 411 A Davenport GLIAC ( 9- 8, 87.3) 13-12 413 A Grand Valley State GLIAC (15- 3, 91.9) 5-10 419 H Saginaw Valley State GLIAC ( 0-13, 72.2) 20- 2 426 A Northern Michigan GLIAC ( 8- 8, 88.3) 7- 8 502 H Northern Michigan GLIAC ( 8- 8, 88.3) 9-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 A Lewis                  12- 8       4     3           1.36
   216 H Walsh                  15-14       1     3          -1.56
   221 H William Jewell         19-11       8     3           1.87
   223 H Rockhurst              10-14      -4    -3          -1.47
   304 A Maryville               4-24     -20   -10           0.00
   306 A McKendree              11- 5       6     3    +      2.31
   314 A Missouri Western        5-12      -7    -1    -     -3.79
   316 A Quincy                 13-14      -1     1    -     -2.33
   321 A Saginaw Valley State   18- 3      15    15           0.00
   328 H Grand Valley State     10-17      -7    -4          -1.12
   330 H Davenport              11- 9       2     1           1.28
   405 H Northern Michigan      13- 9       4     0    ++     4.32
   411 A Davenport              13-12       1     0           1.39
   413 A Grand Valley State      5-10      -5    -5          -0.01
   419 H Saginaw Valley State   20- 2      18    16           0.00
   426 A Northern Michigan       7- 8      -1    -1           0.43
   502 H Northern Michigan       9-12      -3     0    -     -2.68

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Missouri Western        5-12      -7    -1    -     -3.79
   316 A Quincy                 13-14      -1     1    -     -2.33
   502 H Northern Michigan       9-12      -3     0    -     -2.68

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Northern Michigan      13- 9       4     0    ++     4.32
   306 A McKendree              11- 5       6     3    +      2.31

Concordia-St Paul Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adelphi Adelphi   Adelphi
Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alabama-Huntsville
American International Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC)   Anderson (SC)
Ashland Ashland tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Ashland
Assumption Assumption   Assumption
Barton Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Belmont Abbey Belmont Abbey   Belmont Abbey
Bentley Bentley   Bentley
Bloomsburg Bloomsburg   Bloomsburg
Bridgeport Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Caldwell Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Catawba Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Charleston Concordia-St Paul insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Concordia-St Paul
Chestnut Hill Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Chowan Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Coker Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Colorado Mesa
Colorado-Colorado Spring Colorado-Colorado Spring insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Colorado-Colorado Spring
Converse Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
CSU-Pueblo Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul   2- 1 vs 0- 3
D'Youville Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Daemen Concordia-St Paul insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Concordia-St Paul
Davenport Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul  
Davis & Elkins Concordia-St Paul insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Concordia-St Paul
District of Columbia Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Dominican (CA) Dominican (CA) insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 1) Dominican (CA)
Dominican (NY) Dominican (NY)   Dominican (NY)
East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg   East Stroudsburg
Edinboro Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle   Embry-Riddle
Emmanuel (GA) Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Emory & Henry Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Felician Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Findlay Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Flagler Flagler   Flagler
Florida Southern Florida Southern   Florida Southern
Florida Tech Florida Tech   Florida Tech
Fort Lewis Concordia-St Paul insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Concordia-St Paul
Franklin Pierce Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Frostburg State Frostburg State   Frostburg State
Gannon Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Georgian Court Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Grand Valley State Grand Valley State Grand Valley State  
Holy Family Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Indiana (PA) Indiana (PA) tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Indiana (PA)
Indianapolis Indianapolis Indianapolis   9- 1 vs 5- 6
Kutztown Kutztown   Kutztown
Lake Erie Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Lander Lander   Lander
Lee Concordia-St Paul tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Concordia-St Paul
Lees-McRae Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Lenoir-Rhyne Lenoir-Rhyne   Lenoir-Rhyne
Lewis Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul  
Limestone Limestone   Limestone
Lincoln Memorial Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Lock Haven Lock Haven   Lock Haven
Lynn Lynn   Lynn
Malone Concordia-St Paul insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Concordia-St Paul
Mars Hill Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Maryville Maryville Maryville  
McKendree Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul  
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Millersville Millersville   Millersville
Missouri Western Missouri Western Missouri Western  
Molloy Molloy   Molloy
Montevallo Concordia-St Paul tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Concordia-St Paul
Mount Olive Mount Olive   Mount Olive
New Haven New Haven   New Haven
Newberry Newberry   Newberry
North Greenville Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Northern Michigan Northern Michigan Northern Michigan  
Northwood Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul   5- 1 vs 1- 5
Pace Pace   Pace
Palm Beach Atlantic Palm Beach Atlantic tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Palm Beach Atlantic
Post Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Quincy Quincy Quincy  
Regis (CO) Regis (CO) insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Regis (CO)
Roberts Wesleyan Roberts Wesleyan   Roberts Wesleyan
Rockhurst Rockhurst Rockhurst  
Rollins Rollins   Rollins
Saginaw Valley State Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul  
Seton Hill Seton Hill   Seton Hill
Shepherd Shepherd   Shepherd
Shippensburg Shippensburg   Shippensburg
Shorter Concordia-St Paul insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Concordia-St Paul
Slippery Rock Slippery Rock   Slippery Rock
Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Southern New Hampshire Southern New Hampshire   Southern New Hampshire
Southern Wesleyan Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
St Anselm St Anselm   St Anselm
St Leo St Leo   St Leo
St Michaels Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
St Thomas Aquinas Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Tampa Tampa insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tampa
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Thomas More Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul   5- 1 vs 0- 6
Tiffin Concordia-St Paul insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Concordia-St Paul
Tusculum Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Ursuline Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul   2- 0 vs 0- 2
UVA Wise UVA Wise   UVA Wise
Virginia State Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Walsh Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul  
West Chester West Chester   West Chester
West Virginia Wesleyan Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Westminster (UT) Concordia-St Paul insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Concordia-St Paul
Wheeling Concordia-St Paul tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Concordia-St Paul
William Jewell Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul  
Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE)   Wilmington (DE)
Wingate Wingate   Wingate
Young Harris Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul

PowerWise = 54


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.16

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Lewis           ( 6-10, 84.2)    12- 8      -15.66      15.52       0.55         0.95            15.28
   0 H Walsh           ( 9- 9, 85.4)    15-14      -14.47      16.71      -0.55         0.95            15.36
   0 H William Jewell  ( 7- 9, 84.9)    19-11      -15.04      16.14      -0.55         0.95            14.82
   0 H Rockhurst       (12- 4, 90.5)    10-14       -9.38      21.80      -0.55         0.95            -9.44
   0 A Maryville       (18- 1, 96.5)     4-24       -3.45      27.73       0.55         0.95            -2.75
   0 A McKendree       ( 5-12, 84.2)    11- 5      -15.71      15.47       0.55         0.95            15.23
   0 A Missouri Weste  ( 9- 8, 88.1)     5-12      -11.81      19.37       0.55         0.95           -10.70
   0 A Quincy          ( 7- 8, 85.6)    13-14      -14.35      16.83       0.55         0.95           -13.11
   0 A Saginaw Valley  ( 0-13, 72.2)    18- 3      -27.67       3.51       0.55         0.95             3.86
   0 H Grand Valley S  (15- 3, 91.9)    10-17       -8.03      23.15      -0.55         0.95            -8.16
   0 H Davenport       ( 9- 8, 87.3)    11- 9      -12.63      18.55      -0.55         0.95            17.11
   0 H Northern Michi  ( 8- 8, 88.3)    13- 9      -11.59      19.59      -0.55         0.95            18.10
   0 A Davenport       ( 9- 8, 87.3)    13-12      -12.63      18.55       0.55         0.95            18.16
   0 A Grand Valley S  (15- 3, 91.9)     5-10       -8.03      23.15       0.55         0.95            -7.11
   0 H Saginaw Valley  ( 0-13, 72.2)    20- 2      -27.67       3.51      -0.55         0.95             2.81
   0 A Northern Michi  ( 8- 8, 88.3)     7- 8      -11.59      19.59       0.55         0.95           -10.49
   0 H Northern Michi  ( 8- 8, 88.3)     9-12      -11.59      19.59      -0.55         0.95           -11.54
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        47.43

winning pts = 120.7386 losing points = -73.3131

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------